The coronavirus new projection model suggests reopening states too early will bring deadlier outcomes.
What We Know:
- The CDC states several models show deaths will rise in coming weeks, depending on how much contact reduction Americans practice.
- “Some models that take strong contact reduction into cosideration suggest death will occur but will ‘slow significantly over the next month’,” advises the CDC.
- On the other hand, models that do not incorporate contact reduction suggest that the total deaths may continue to rise quickly.
- The model used by the White House coronavirus Task Force has increased its predicted death toll again to 74,000 Americans by August.
- States such as Georgia, Texas, Hawaii, and Alaska have started reopening.
- The Governor of California said the state is a week away from opening up and reversing their stay-at-home order even though beaches were packed with thousands of people over the weekend.
- Georgia’s Governor Brian Kemp says his state is moving forward with data and information and decisions from the local public health officials.
- The guidelines for “Opening Up America Again” advises that states shoudn’t start to reopen until they have a downward trajectory of documented cases in a 14-day period or less positive test as a percent of total testing in a 14-day period.
- The commissioner of the Georgia Department of Health stated “We didn’t meet the full criteria, but we met several of them and we were approaching a plateauing, which made us move forward because we had three things in place”.
- Experts warn that there is still a lot researchers dont know about the accuracy of the test.
- The Wolrd Health Organization warns there is no proof that having anitbodies prevents being infected a second time.
- With all the uncertainty, more states are continuing with reopening such as Missouri, Kentucky, and Wisconsin over the next couple of weeks.
As of Tuesday morning, more that 990,100 Americans have been infected and more than 56,400 have died.